Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can bet on future events and profit from your knowledge. Think of it as a stock market, but instead of trading company shares, you're trading on the probability of events happening.
1. Choose an Event: Pick any market, like "Will Bitcoin reach $100k in 2025?"
2. Buy Shares: Shares are priced between $0.00 and $1.00. If you think Bitcoin will hit $100k, you buy YES shares. If not, buy NO shares.
3. Make Profit: If you're correct, each share pays out $1.00. If YES shares cost $0.65, you profit $0.35 per share when Bitcoin hits $100k!
4. Sell Early (Optional): Changed your mind? Sell your shares at the current market price before the event ends.
Market prices reflect the collective wisdom of traders, creating accurate, real-time probabilities for future events.
Unlike sportsbooks, you trade with other users, not against 'the house'. No one can ban you for winning.
Every pair of YES + NO shares is backed by $1.00 USDC, ensuring payouts are always guaranteed.
Sell your shares before the event ends to lock in profits or cut losses. You're never locked in.
Key Insight: Prediction markets are often more accurate than polls and experts because traders have real money on the line.